The piranha problem: Large effects swimming in a small pond

Smoking and lung cancer: Recent evidence and a discussion of some questions

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Beyond the two disciplines of scientific psychology

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Impact of a confounding variable on a regression coefficient

K. A. Frank · 2002

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Theoretical and mathematical constraints of interactive regression models

W. M. Rogers · 2002

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The horseshoe estimator for sparse signals

C. M. Carvalho, N. G. Polson, and J. G. Scott · 2010

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False-positive psychology: Undisclosed flexibility in data collection and analysis allows presenting anything as significant

J. P. Simmons, L. D. Nelson, and U. Simonsohn · 2011

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Generalized Cornfield conditions for the risk difference

P. Ding and T. J. Vanderweele · 2014

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Beyond power calculations: Assessing type S (sign) and type M (magnitude) errors

A. Gelman and J. B. Carlin · 2014

Cited alongside, same era.

When is correlation transitive?

T. Tao · 2014

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Penalization, bias reduction, and default priors in logistic and related categorical and survival regressions

S. Greenland and M. A. Mansournia · 2015

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A skeptical eye on psi

E. Wagenmakers, R. Wetzels, D. Borsboom, R. Kievit, and H. L. J. van der Maas · 2015

Cited alongside, same era.

Increasing transparency through a multiverse analysis

S. Steegen, F. Tuerlinckx, A. Gelman, and W. Vanpaemel · 2016

Cited alongside, same era.

The piranha problem in social psychology / behavioral economics: The “take a pill” model of science eats itself, 2017

A. Gelman · 2017

Are replication rates the same across academic fields? Community forecasts from the DARPA SCORE programme

M. Gordon, D. Viganola, M. Bishop, Y. Chen, A. Dreber, B. Goldfedder, F. Holzmeister, M. Johannesson, Y. Liu, C. Twardy, J. Wang, and T. Pfeiffer · 2020

Later among the works it cites.

Impact of a confounding variable on a regression coefficient

B. Knaeble, B. Osting, and M. A. Abramson · 2020

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Rain, rain, go away: 137 potential exclusion-restriction violations for studies using weather as an instrumental variable, 2020

J. Mellon · 2020

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Bayesian regression using a prior on the model fit: The R2-D2 shrinkage prior

Original

Y. D. Zhang, B. P. Naughton, H. D. Bondell, and B. J. Reich · 2020

Later among the works it cites.

No reason to expect large and consistent effects of nudge interventions

B. Szászi, A. B. C. Anthony C. Higney, A. Gelman, I. Ziano, B. Aczel, D. G. Goldstein, D. S. Yeager, and E. Tipton · 2022