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It is known that several sub-universal quantum computing models, such as the IQP model, the Boson sampling model, the one-clean qubit model, and the random circuit model, cannot be classically simulated in polynomial time under certain conjectures in classical complexity theory.
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R. R. Williams, Strong ETH breaks with Merlin and Arthur: short non-interactive proofs of batch evaluation. Proceedings of the 31st Conference on Computational Complexity (CCC’16), pages 1-17 (2016). DOI:10.4230/LIPIcs.CCC.2016.2
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