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A regression-based BNN model is proposed to predict spatiotemporal quantities like hourly rider demand with calibrated uncertainties.
Long short-term memory
Sepp Hochreiter and Jürgen Schmidhuber · 1997
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A review of unsupervised feature learning and deep learning for time-series modeling
Martin Längkvist, Lars Karlsson, and Amy Loutfi · 2014
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Weight uncertainty in neural networks
Charles Blundell, Julien Cornebise, Koray Kavukcuoglu, and Daan Wierstra · 2015
Earlier work this paper cites.
Probabilistic backpropagation for scalable learning of bayesian neural networks
José Miguel Hernández-Lobato and Ryan Adams · 2015
Earlier work this paper cites.
Stein variational gradient descent: A general purpose bayesian inference algorithm
Qiang Liu and Dilin Wang · 2016
Cited alongside, same era.
Convolutional sequence to sequence learning
Jonas Gehring, Michael Auli, David Grangier, Denis Yarats, and Yann N Dauphin · 2017
Cited alongside, same era.
Simple and scalable predictive uncertainty estimation using deep ensembles
Balaji Lakshminarayanan, Alexander Pritzel, and Charles Blundell · 2017
Cited alongside, same era.
Multiplicative normalizing flows for variational bayesian neural networks
Christos Louizos and Max Welling · 2017
Cited alongside, same era.
Dropout as a bayesian approximation: Representing model uncertainty in deep learning
Yarin Gal and Zoubin Ghahramani
Cited in the paper.
A theoretically grounded application of dropout in recurrent neural networks
Yarin Gal and Zoubin Ghahramani
Cited in the paper.
Dropout inference in bayesian neural networks with alpha-divergences
Yingzhen Li and Yarin Gal · 2017
Later among the works it cites.
Deep and confident prediction for time series at uber
Lingxue Zhu and Nikolay Laptev · 2017
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Stein variational gradient descent as gradient flow
Qiang Liu · 2017
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Probabilistic meta-representations of neural networks
Theofanis Karaletsos, Peter Dayan, and Zoubin Ghahramani · 2018
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