Built on

J. R. Ellis, K. Enqvist, D. V. Nanopoulos and F. Zwirner, “Observables in Low-Energy Superstring Models,” Mod. Phys. Lett. A 1
1986
Earlier work this paper cites.
R. Barbieri and G. F. Giudice, “Upper Bounds on Supersymmetric Particle Masses,” Nucl. Phys. B 306
1988
Earlier work this paper cites.
S. Weinberg, “The Cosmological Constant Problem,” Rev. Mod. Phys. 61
1989
Earlier work this paper cites.
G. W. Anderson and D. J. Castaño, “Measures of fine tuning,” Phys. Lett. B 347
1995
Earlier work this paper cites.
G. W. Anderson and D. J. Castaño, “Naturalness and superpartner masses or when to give up on weak scale supersymmetry,” Phys. Rev. D 52
1995
Earlier work this paper cites.
L. Randall and R. Sundrum, “A Large mass hierarchy from a small extra dimension,” Phys. Rev. Lett. 83
1999
Earlier work this paper cites.
M. R. Douglas, “The Statistics of string / M theory vacua,” JHEP 0305
2003
Earlier work this paper cites.
E. Gross and O. Vitells, “Trial factors for the look elsewhere effect in high energy physics,” Eur. Phys. J. C 70
Original
2010
Earlier work this paper cites.

Similar

S. Fichet, “Quantified naturalness from Bayesian statistics,” Phys. Rev. D 86
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2013
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Y. Kawamura, “Naturalness, Conformal Symmetry and Duality,” PTEP 2013
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2013
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G. Marques Tavares, M. Schmaltz and W. Skiba, “Higgs mass naturalness and scale invariance in the UV,” Phys. Rev. D 89
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2014
Cited alongside, same era.
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Original

Then

M. Dine, “Naturalness Under Stress,” Ann. Rev. Nucl. Part. Sci. 65
Original
2015
Later among the works it cites.
S. P. Martin, “A Supersymmetry primer,” Adv. Ser. Direct. High Energy Phys. 21
2016
Later among the works it cites.
J. D. Wells, “Higgs naturalness and the scalar boson proliferation instability problem,” Synthese 194
Original
2017
Later among the works it cites.
A. Hebecker, J. Hisano. “Grand Unified Theories.” In C. Patrignani et al. (Particle Data Group), Chin. Phys. C40, 100001 (2016) and 2017 update
2017
Later among the works it cites.
J.D. Wells. “Lexicon of Theory Qualities.” Resource Manuscripts
2018
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2018

Finetuned Cancellations and Improbable Theories

Wells, James D.

Understand

It is argued that the $x-y$ cancellation model (XYCM) is a good proxy for discussions of finetuned cancellations in physical theories.

XYCM is then analyzed from a statistical perspective, where it is argued that a finetuned point in the parameter space is not abnormal, with any such point being just as probable as any other point.
However, landing inside a standardly defined finetuned region (i.e., the full parameter space of finetuned points) has a much lower probability than landing outside the region, and that probability is invariant under assumed ranges of parameters.
This proposition requires asserting also that the finetuned target region is a priori established.

Built on

J. R. Ellis, K. Enqvist, D. V. Nanopoulos and F. Zwirner, “Observables in Low-Energy Superstring Models,” Mod. Phys. Lett. A 1
1986
Earlier work this paper cites.
R. Barbieri and G. F. Giudice, “Upper Bounds on Supersymmetric Particle Masses,” Nucl. Phys. B 306
1988
Earlier work this paper cites.
S. Weinberg, “The Cosmological Constant Problem,” Rev. Mod. Phys. 61
1989
Earlier work this paper cites.
G. W. Anderson and D. J. Castaño, “Measures of fine tuning,” Phys. Lett. B 347
1995
Earlier work this paper cites.
G. W. Anderson and D. J. Castaño, “Naturalness and superpartner masses or when to give up on weak scale supersymmetry,” Phys. Rev. D 52
1995
Earlier work this paper cites.
L. Randall and R. Sundrum, “A Large mass hierarchy from a small extra dimension,” Phys. Rev. Lett. 83
1999
Earlier work this paper cites.
M. R. Douglas, “The Statistics of string / M theory vacua,” JHEP 0305
2003
Earlier work this paper cites.
E. Gross and O. Vitells, “Trial factors for the look elsewhere effect in high energy physics,” Eur. Phys. J. C 70
Original
2010
Earlier work this paper cites.

Similar

S. Fichet, “Quantified naturalness from Bayesian statistics,” Phys. Rev. D 86
Original
2012
Cited alongside, same era.
M. Farina, D. Pappadopulo and A. Strumia, “A modified naturalness principle and its experimental tests,” JHEP 1308
Original
2013
Cited alongside, same era.
Y. Kawamura, “Naturalness, Conformal Symmetry and Duality,” PTEP 2013
Original
2013
Cited alongside, same era.
G. Marques Tavares, M. Schmaltz and W. Skiba, “Higgs mass naturalness and scale invariance in the UV,” Phys. Rev. D 89
Original
2014
Cited alongside, same era.
A. de Gouvea, D. Hernandez and T. M. P. Tait, “Criteria for Natural Hierarchies,” Phys. Rev. D 89
Original

Then

M. Dine, “Naturalness Under Stress,” Ann. Rev. Nucl. Part. Sci. 65
Original
2015
Later among the works it cites.
S. P. Martin, “A Supersymmetry primer,” Adv. Ser. Direct. High Energy Phys. 21
2016
Later among the works it cites.
J. D. Wells, “Higgs naturalness and the scalar boson proliferation instability problem,” Synthese 194
Original
2017
Later among the works it cites.
A. Hebecker, J. Hisano. “Grand Unified Theories.” In C. Patrignani et al. (Particle Data Group), Chin. Phys. C40, 100001 (2016) and 2017 update
2017
Later among the works it cites.
J.D. Wells. “Lexicon of Theory Qualities.” Resource Manuscripts
2018
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2014

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K. Cranmer, “Practical Statistics for the LHC,” doi:10.5170/CERN-2015-001.247, 10.5170/CERN-2014-003.267 arXiv:1503.07622 [physics.data-an]

Original

2014

Cited alongside, same era.

P. Williams, “Naturalness, the autonomy of scales, and the 125 GeV Higgs,” Stud. Hist. Phil. Sci. B 51

2015

Cited alongside, same era.

G. F. Giudice, “Naturally Speaking: The Naturalness Criterion and Physics at the LHC,” [arXiv:0801.2562 [hep-ph]]

Original

Cited in the paper.

G. F. Giudice, “The Dawn of the Post-Naturalness Era,” arXiv:1710.07663 [physics.hist-ph]

Original

Cited in the paper.

S. Hossenfelder, “Screams for Explanation: Finetuning and Naturalness in the Foundations of Physics,” arXiv:1801.02176 [physics.hist-ph]

Original

Cited in the paper.

J. D. Wells, “Naturalness, Extra-Empirical Theory Assessments, and the Implications of Skepticism,” arXiv:1806.07289 [physics.hist-ph]

Original

Cited in the paper.

J. Conway, H. Haber, J. Hobbs, H. Prosper, “Statistical conventions and method for combing channels for the Tevatron Run 2 SUSY/Higgs Workshop,” Higgs Working Group, Version 5, 24 February 1999. https://pdfs.semanticscholar.org/2f9f/67348cbf53bd0162ae62fea0dd0dc9848796.pdf (Accessed 27 August 2018)

2018

Closest in time.

M.D. Mastrandrea et al. (IPCC), “Guidance Note for Lead Authors of the IPCC Fifth Assessment Report on Consistent Treatment of Uncertainties.” IPCC, July 2010. https://www.ipcc.ch/pdf/supporting-material/uncertainty-guidance-note.pdf (Accessed 27 August 2018)

2018

Closest in time.