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Conformal prediction uses past experience to determine precise levels of confidence in new predictions.
On the probable error of a mean
Student (William S. Gossett) · 1908
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Applications of Student’s distribution
Ronald A. Fisher · 1925
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The fiducial argument in statistical inference
Ronald A. Fisher · 1935
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The use of multiple measurements in taxonomic problems
Ronald A. Fisher · 1936
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Outline of a theory of statistical estimation based on the classical theory of probability
Jerzy Neyman · 1937
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Symmetric measures on Cartesian products
Edwin Hewitt and Leonard J. Savage · 1955
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Statistical Methods and Scientific Inference
Ronald A. Fisher · 1956
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Testing Statistical Hypotheses
Erich L. Lehmann · 1959
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Elements of Continuous Multivariate Analysis
A. P. Dempster · 1969
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Student’s t-test under symmetry conditions
Bradley Efron · 1969
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Repetitive structures and the relation between canonical and microcanonical distributions in statistics and statistical mechanics
Per Martin-Löf · 1974
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Some counterexamples to the theory of confidence intervals
G. K. Robinson · 1975
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Sunset salvo
John W. Tukey · 1986
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Some properties of Kolmogorov δ \delta -random finite sequences
Eugene A. Asarin · 1987
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On some properties of finite objects random in the algorithmic sense
Eugene A. Asarin · 1988
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Extremal Families and Systems of Sufficient Statistics
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Probabilistic Networks and Expert Systems
Robert G. Cowell, A. Philip Dawid, Steffen L. Lauritzen, and David J. Spiegelhalter · 1999
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Wahrscheinlichkeitsrechnung und ihre Anwendung auf Fehlerausgleichung, Statistik, und Lebensversicherung
Emanuel Czuber · 2000
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Mathematical Statistics: Basic Ideas and Selected Topics. Volume I
Peter J. Bickel and Kjell A. Doksum · 2001
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Probability and Finance: It’s only a Game!
Glenn Shafer and Vladimir Vovk · 2001
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Linear Regression Analysis
G. A. F. Seber and A. J. Lee · 2003
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R-estimates vs. GMM: A theoretical case study of validity and efficiency
Dylan S. Small, Joseph L. Gastwirth, Abba M. Krieger, and Paul R. Rosenbaum · 2006
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Modern Regression Methods
Thomas P. Ryan · 1997
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Applied Regression Analysis
Norman R. Draper and Harry Smith · 1998
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Statistical Learning Theory
Vladimir N. Vapnik · 1998
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Algorithmic Learning in a Random World
Vladimir Vovk, Alex Gammerman, and Glenn Shafer · 2006
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Hedging predictions in machine learning
Alex Gammerman and Vladimir Vovk · 2007
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From Cournot’s principle to market efficiency
Glenn Shafer · 2007
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