Sea Change in Software Development: Economic and Productivity Analysis of the AI-Powered Developer Lifecycle

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This study examines the impact of GitHub Copilot on a large sample of Copilot users (n=934,533).

• The analysis shows that users on average accept nearly 30% of the suggested code, leading to increased productivity.
• Furthermore, our research demonstrates that the acceptance rate rises over time and is particularly high among less experienced developers, providing them with substantial benefits.
• Additionally, our estimations indicate that the adoption of generative AI productivity tools could potentially contribute to a $1.5 trillion increase in global GDP by 2030.