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Early warning systems (EWS) are predictive tools at the center of recent efforts to improve graduation rates in public schools across the United States.
Multicalibration: Calibration for the (computationally-identifiable) masses
Hébert-Johnson, U., Kim, M., Reingold, O., and Rothblum, G. (2018) · 1948
Earlier work this paper cites.
Regression-discontinuity analysis: An alternative to the ex post facto experiment
Thistlethwaite, D. L. and Campbell, D. T. (1960) · 1960
Earlier work this paper cites.
Using maimonides’ rule to estimate the effect of class size on scholastic achievement
Angrist, J. D. and Lavy, V. (1999) · 1999
Earlier work this paper cites.
No child left behind: The need to address the dropout crisis
U.S Senate Hearing (2002) · 2002
Earlier work this paper cites.
Against prediction: Profiling, policing, and punishing in an actuarial age
Harcourt, B. E. (2006) · 2006
Earlier work this paper cites.
What matters for staying on-track and graduating in chicago public high schools: A close look at course grades, failures, and attendance in the freshman year. research report
Allensworth, E. M. and Easton, J. Q. (2007) · 2007
Earlier work this paper cites.
Preventing student disengagement and keeping students on the graduation path in urban middle-grades schools: Early identification and effective interventions
Balfanz, R., Herzog, L., and Mac Iver, D. J. (2007) · 2007
Earlier work this paper cites.
Regression discontinuity designs: A guide to practice
Imbens, G. W. and Lemieux, T. (2008) · 2008
Earlier work this paper cites.
Engaging rational discrimination: exploring reasons for placing regulatory constraints on decision support systems
Gandy, O. H. (2010) · 2010
Earlier work this paper cites.
On track for success: The use of early warning indicator and intervention systems to build a grad nation
Bruce, M., Bridgeland, J. M., Fox, J. H., and Balfanz, R. (2011) · 2011
Cited alongside, same era.
Small is beautiful: A study of economics as if people mattered
Schumacher, E. F. (2011) · 2011
Cited alongside, same era.
Who you are or what you do: Comparing the predictive power of demographics vs. activity patterns in massive open online courses (moocs)
Brooks, C., Thompson, C., and Teasley, S. (2015) · 2015
Cited alongside, same era.
Of needles and haystacks: Building an accurate statewide dropout early warning system in wisconsin
Knowles, J. E. (2015) · 2015
Cited alongside, same era.
Issue brief: Early warning systems
U.S Department of Education (2016) · 2016
Cited alongside, same era.
An efficacy study of a ninth-grade early warning indicator intervention
Mac Iver, M. A., Stein, M. L., Davis, M. H., Balfanz, R. W., and Fox, J. H. (2019) · 2019
Later among the works it cites.
Dissecting racial bias in an algorithm used to manage the health of populations
Obermeyer, Z., Powers, B., Vogeli, C., and Mullainathan, S. (2019) · 2019
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Performative prediction
Perdomo, J., Zrnic, T., Mendler-Dunner, C., and Hardt, M. (2020) · 2020
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Measuring the predictability of life outcomes with a scientific mass collaboration
Salganik, M. J., Lundberg, I., Kindel, A. T., Ahearn, C. E., Al-Ghoneim, K., Almaatouq, A., Altschul, D. M., Brand, J. E., Carnegie, N. B., Compton, R. J., et al. (2020) · 2020
Later among the works it cites.
mcboost: Multi-calibration boosting for r
Pfisterer, F., Kern, C., Dandl, S., Sun, M., Kim, M. P., and Bischl, B. (2021) · 2021
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Faria, A.-M., Sorensen, N., Heppen, J., Bowdon, J., Taylor, S., Eisner, R., and Foster, S. (2017) · 2017
Cited alongside, same era.
Automating inequality: How high-tech tools profile, police, and punish the poor
Eubanks, V. (2018) · 2018
Cited alongside, same era.
Catboost: Unbiased boosting with categorical features
Prokhorenkova, L., Gusev, G., Vorobev, A., Dorogush, A. V., and Gulin, A. (2018) · 2018
Cited alongside, same era.
Early warning indicators and intervention systems: State of the field
Balfanz, R. and Byrnes, V. (2019) · 2019
Cited alongside, same era.
Hardt, M. and Kim, M. P. (2022) · 2022
Later among the works it cites.
Personal Communication
Koenitzer, J. (2022) · 2022
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Anticipating performativity by predicting from predictions
Mendler-Dünner, C., Ding, F., and Wang, Y. (2022) · 2022
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Early warning systems for more effective student counselling in higher education: Evidence from a dutch field experiment
Plak, S., Cornelisz, I., Meeter, M., and van Klaveren, C. (2022) · 2022
Later among the works it cites.