A Sequential Test for Log-Concavity

Understand

On observing a sequence of i.i.d.\ data with distribution $P$ on $\mathbb{R}^d$, we ask the question of how one can test the null hypothesis that $P$ has a log-concave density.

• This paper proves one interesting negative and positive result: the non-existence of test (super)martingales, and the consistency of universal inference.
• To elaborate, the set of log-concave distributions $\mathcal{L}$ is a nonparametric class, which contains the set $\mathcal G$ of all possible Gaussians with any mean and covariance.
• Developing further the recent geometric concept of fork-convexity, we first prove that there do no exist any nontrivial test martingales or test supermartingales for $\mathcal G$ (a process that is simultaneously a nonnegative supermartingale for every distribution in $\mathcal G$), and hence also for its superset $\mathcal{L}$.