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Counterfactual reasoning -- envisioning hypothetical scenarios, or possible worlds, where some circumstances are different from what (f)actually occurred (counter-to-fact) -- is ubiquitous in human cognition.
Counterfactuals
David Lewis · 1973
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Counterfactual dependence and time’s arrow
David Lewis · 1979
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Probabilistic evaluation of counterfactual queries
Alexander Balke and Judea Pearl · 1994
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Counterfactual thought experiments in world politics: Logical, methodological, and psychological perspectives
Philip E Tetlock and Aaron Belkin · 1996
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Causal inference without counterfactuals
Philip Dawid · 2000
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A causal theory of counterfactuals
Eric Hiddleston · 2005
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Counterfactuals and the second law
Barry Loewer · 2007
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Causation and race
Paul W Holland · 2008
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Causality
Judea Pearl · 2009
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Counterfactuals, thought experiments, and singular causal analysis in history
Julian Reiss · 2009
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Two causal theories of counterfactual conditionals
Lance J Rips · 2010
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Back on track: Backtracking in counterfactual reasoning
Tobias Gerstenberg, Christos Bechlivanidis, and David A Lagnado · 2013
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Inference and explanation in counterfactual reasoning
Lance J Rips and Brian J Edwards · 2013
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Conditions for backtracking with counterfactual conditionals
Jung-Ho Han, William Jimenez-Leal, and Steve Sloman · 2014
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An improved probabilistic account of counterfactual reasoning
Christopher G Lucas and Charles Kemp · 2015
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Against counterfactual miracles
Cian Dorr · 2016
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Avoiding discrimination through causal reasoning
Niki Kilbertus, Mateo Rojas Carulla, Giambattista Parascandolo, Moritz Hardt, Dominik Janzing, and Bernhard Schölkopf · 2017
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Counterfactual fairness
Matt J Kusner, Joshua Loftus, Chris Russell, and Ricardo Silva · 2017
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Hiddleston’s causal modeling semantics and the distinction between forward-tracking and backtracking counterfactuals
Kok Yong Lee · 2017
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Sandra Wachter, Brent Mittelstadt, and Chris Russell · 2017
Face: feasible and actionable counterfactual explanations
Rafael Poyiadzi, Kacper Sokol, Raul Santos-Rodriguez, Tijl De Bie, and Peter Flach · 2020
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Certifai: A common framework to provide explanations and analyse the fairness and robustness of black-box models
Shubham Sharma, Jette Henderson, and Joydeep Ghosh · 2020
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Super-humeanism and free will
Michael Esfeld · 2021
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Quantifying intrinsic causal contributions via structure preserving interventions
Dominik Janzing, Patrick Blöbaum, Lenon Minorics, Philipp Faller, and Atalanti Mastakouri · 2021
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Algorithmic recourse: from counterfactual explanations to interventions
Amir-Hossein Karimi, Bernhard Schölkopf, and Isabel Valera · 2021
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Causation with a human face: Normative theory and descriptive psychology
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The book of why: the new science of cause and effect
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James Woodward · 2021
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On Pearl’s hierarchy and the foundations of causal inference
Elias Bareinboim, Juan D Correa, Duligur Ibeling, and Thomas Icard · 2022
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