Fetching the paper…
Reading the bibliography…
Understanding extreme events and their probability is key for the study of climate change impacts, risk assessment, adaptation, and the protection of living beings.
Initial recombination of ions
L. Onsager · 1938
Earlier work this paper cites.
Verification of forecasts expressed in terms of probability
G. W. Brier · 1950
Earlier work this paper cites.
The predictability of a flow which possesses many scales of motion
E. N. Lorenz · 1969
Earlier work this paper cites.
Climate and the ocean circulation: I. the atmosphere circulation and the hydrology of the earth’s surface
S. Manabe · 1969
Earlier work this paper cites.
Comparison of the predicted and observed secondary structure of t4 phage lysozyme
B. Matthews · 1975
Earlier work this paper cites.
Detecting strange attractors in turbulence
F. Takens · 1981
Earlier work this paper cites.
Influence of land-surface evapotranspiration on the earth’s climate
J. Shukla and Y. Mintz · 1982
Earlier work this paper cites.
Simulation of the atmospheric response to soil moisture anomalies over europe
P. Rowntree and J. Bolton · 1983
Earlier work this paper cites.
Monthly precipitation-temperature relations and temperature prediction over the united states
J. Huang and H. M. van den Dool · 1993
Earlier work this paper cites.
Puma: Portable university model of the atmosphere
K. Fraedrich, E. Kirk, and F. Lunkeit · 1998
Earlier work this paper cites.
The role of increasing temperature variability in european summer heatwaves
C. Schär, P. L. Vidale, D. Lüthi, C. Frei, C. Häberli, M. A. Liniger, and C. Appenzeller · 2004
Earlier work this paper cites.
Transition pathways in complex systems: Reaction coordinates, isocommittor surfaces, and transition tubes
W. E, W. Ren, and E. Vanden-Eijnden · 2005
Earlier work this paper cites.
The planet simulator: Towards a user friendly model
K. Fraedrich, H. Jansen, E. Kirk, U. Luksch, and F. Lunkeit · 2005
Earlier work this paper cites.
Hot and cool summers: Multiple equilibria of the continental water cycle
F. D’Andrea, A. Provenzale, R. Vautard, and N. De Noblet-Decoudré · 2006
Earlier work this paper cites.
Soil moisture–atmosphere interactions during the 2003 european summer heat wave
E. M. Fischer, S. I. Seneviratne, P. L. Vidale, D. Lüthi, and C. Schär · 2007
Earlier work this paper cites.
Summertime European heat and drought waves induced by wintertime Mediterranean rainfall deficit
R. Vautard, P. Yiou, F. D’Andrea, N. de Noblet, N. Viovy, C. Cassou, J. Polcher, P. Ciais, M. Kageyama, and Y. Fan · 2007
Earlier work this paper cites.
Cyclone nargis storm surge in myanmar
H. M. Fritz, C. D. Blount, S. Thwin, M. K. Thu, and N. Chan · 2009
Earlier work this paper cites.
The Elements of Statistical Learning: Data Mining, Inference, and Prediction, Second Edition
T. Hastie, R. Tibshirani, and J. Friedman · 2009
Earlier work this paper cites.
A survey on transfer learning
S. J. Pan and Q. Yang · 2009
Earlier work this paper cites.
Scoring rules for forecast verification
R. Benedetti · 2010
Earlier work this paper cites.
A review of the european summer heat wave of 2003
R. García-Herrera, J. Díaz, R. M. Trigo, J. Luterbacher, and E. M. Fischer · 2010
Earlier work this paper cites.
Persistence of heat waves and its link to soil moisture memory
R. Lorenz, E. B. Jaeger, and S. I. Seneviratne · 2010
Earlier work this paper cites.
The hot summer of 2010: redrawing the temperature record map of europe
D. Barriopedro, E. M. Fischer, J. Luterbacher, R. M. Trigo, and R. García-Herrera · 2011
Earlier work this paper cites.
Observational evidence for soil-moisture impact on hot extremes in southeastern europe
M. Hirschi, S. I. Seneviratne, V. Alexandrov, F. Boberg, C. Boroneant, O. B. Christensen, H. Formayer, B. Orlowsky, and P. Stepanek · 2011
Earlier work this paper cites.
A decade of weather extremes
D. Coumou and S. Rahmstorf · 2012
Earlier work this paper cites.
Managing the risks of extreme events and disasters to advance climate change adaptation: special report of the intergovernmental panel on climate change
C. B. Field, V. Barros, T. F. Stocker, and Q. Dahe · 2012
Earlier work this paper cites.
Reconciling two approaches to attribution of the 2010 russian heat wave
F. Otto, N. Massey, G. J. Van Oldenborgh, R. Jones, and M. Allen · 2012
Earlier work this paper cites.
Optimizing transition states via kernel-based machine learning
Z. D. Pozun, K. Hansen, D. Sheppard, M. Rupp, K.-R. Müller, and G. Henkelman · 2012
Earlier work this paper cites.
Heatwave classification over europe and the mediterranean region
M. Stéfanon, F. D’Andrea, and P. Drobinski · 2012
Earlier work this paper cites.
A zonal wavenumber 3 pattern of northern hemisphere wintertime planetary wave variability at high latitudes
H. Teng and G. Branstator · 2012
Earlier work this paper cites.
Probability of us heat waves affected by a subseasonal planetary wave pattern
H. Teng, G. Branstator, H. Wang, G. A. Meehl, and W. M. Washington · 2013
Earlier work this paper cites.
”SIDUS”, the solution for extreme deduplication of an operating system
M. E. Quemener · 2014
Earlier work this paper cites.
Northern eurasian heat waves and droughts
S. D. Schubert, H. Wang, R. D. Koster, M. J. Suarez, and P. Y. Groisman · 2014
Cited alongside, same era.
Anawege: a weather generator based on analogues of atmospheric circulation
P. Yiou · 2014
Cited alongside, same era.
Interannual coupling between summertime surface temperature and precipitation over land: Processes and implications for climate change
A. Berg, B. R. Lintner, K. Findell, S. I. Seneviratne, B. van den Hurk, A. Ducharne, F. Chéruy, S. Hagemann, D. M. Lawrence, S. Malyshev, A. Meier, and P. Gentine · 2015
Cited alongside, same era.
A review on the scientific understanding of heatwaves—their measurement, driving mechanisms, and changes at the global scale
S. E. Perkins · 2015
Cited alongside, same era.
Calibrating probability with undersampling for unbalanced classification
A. D. Pozzolo, O. Caelen, R. A. Johnson, and G. Bontempi · 2015
Cited alongside, same era.
Stochastic ensemble climate forecast with an analogue model
P. Yiou and C. Déandréis · 2019
Later among the works it cites.
Land–atmosphere feedbacks exacerbate concurrent soil drought and atmospheric aridity
S. Zhou, A. P. Williams, A. M. Berg, B. I. Cook, Y. Zhang, S. Hagemann, R. Lorenz, S. I. Seneviratne, and P. Gentine · 2019
Later among the works it cites.
Analog forecasting of extreme-causing weather patterns using deep learning
A. Chattopadhyay, E. Nabizadeh, and P. Hassanzadeh · 2020
Later among the works it cites.
The advantages of the matthews correlation coefficient (mcc) over f1 score and accuracy in binary classification evaluation
D. Chicco and G. Jurman · 2020
Later among the works it cites.
Long lead time drought forecasting using lagged climate variables and a stacked long short-term memory model
A. Dikshit, B. Pradhan, and A. M. Alamri · 2020
Later among the works it cites.
alphaXiv searches the wider corpus for related work and actual follow-ups.
alphaXiv is searching for related work…
Deep Learning
I. Goodfellow, Y. Bengio, and A. Courville · 2016
Cited alongside, same era.
A review of recent advances in research on extreme heat events
R. M. Horton, J. S. Mankin, C. Lesk, E. Coffel, and C. Raymond · 2016
Cited alongside, same era.
Application of deep convolutional neural networks for detecting extreme weather in climate datasets
Y. Liu, E. Racah, J. Correa, A. Khosrowshahi, D. Lavers, K. Kunkel, M. Wehner, W. Collins, et al · 2016
Cited alongside, same era.
A deep learning based approach for long-term drought prediction
N. A. Agana and A. Homaifar · 2017
Cited alongside, same era.
Tropospheric waveguide teleconnections and their seasonality
G. Branstator and H. Teng · 2017
Cited alongside, same era.
On calibration of modern neural networks
C. Guo, G. Pleiss, Y. Sun, and K. Q. Weinberger · 2017
Cited alongside, same era.
Theory-guided data science: A new paradigm for scientific discovery from data
A. Karpatne, G. Atluri, J. H. Faghmous, M. Steinbach, A. Banerjee, A. Ganguly, S. Shekhar, N. Samatova, and V. Kumar · 2017
Cited alongside, same era.
Path properties of atmospheric transitions: illustration with a low-order sudden stratospheric warming model
J. Finkel, D. S. Abbot, and J. Weare · 2020
Later among the works it cites.
Tropical cyclone track forecasting using fused deep learning from aligned reanalysis data
S. Giffard-Roisin, M. Yang, G. Charpiat, C. Kumler Bonfanti, B. Kégl, and C. Monteleoni · 2020
Later among the works it cites.
The era5 global reanalysis
H. Hersbach, B. Bell, P. Berrisford, S. Hirahara, A. Horányi, J. Muñoz-Sabater, J. Nicolas, C. Peubey, R. Radu, D. Schepers, A. Simmons, C. Soci, S. Abdalla, X. Abellan, G. Balsamo, P. Bechtold, G. Biavati, J. Bidlot, M. Bonavita, G. De Chiara, P. Dahlgren, D. Dee, M. Diamantakis, R. Dragani, J. Flemming, R. Forbes, M. Fuentes, A. Geer, L. Haimberger, S. Healy, R. J. Hogan, E. Hólm, M. Janisková, S. Keeley, P. Laloyaux, P. Lopez, C. Lupu, G. Radnoti, P. de Rosnay, I. Rozum, F. Vamborg, S. Villaume, and J.-N. Thépaut · 2020
Later among the works it cites.
Machine learning of committor functions for predicting high impact climate events
D. Lucente, F. Bouchet, and C. Herbert · 2020
Later among the works it cites.
Ealstm-qr: Interval wind-power prediction model based on numerical weather prediction and deep learning
X. Peng, H. Wang, J. Lang, W. Li, Q. Xu, Z. Zhang, T. Cai, S. Duan, F. Liu, and C. Li · 2020
Later among the works it cites.
Computation of extreme values of time averaged observables in climate models with large deviation techniques
F. Ragone and F. Bouchet · 2020
Later among the works it cites.
Projected increases in monthly midlatitude summertime temperature variance over land are driven by local thermodynamics
L. Vargas Zeppetello and D. Battisti · 2020
Later among the works it cites.
A typology of compound weather and climate events
J. Zscheischler, O. Martius, S. Westra, E. Bevacqua, C. Raymond, R. M. Horton, B. van den Hurk, A. AghaKouchak, A. Jézéquel, M. D. Mahecha, et al · 2020
Later among the works it cites.
Climbing down charney’s ladder: machine learning and the post-dennard era of computational climate science
V. Balaji · 2021
Later among the works it cites.
Characterizing the relationship between temperature and soil moisture extremes and their role in the exacerbation of heat waves over the contiguous united states
D. O. Benson and P. A. Dirmeyer · 2021
Later among the works it cites.
Learning forecasts of rare stratospheric transitions from short simulations
J. Finkel, R. J. Webber, E. P. Gerber, D. S. Abbot, and J. Weare · 2021
Later among the works it cites.
Fingerprinting heatwaves and cold spells and assessing their response to climate change using large deviation theory
V. M. Gálfi and V. Lucarini · 2021
Later among the works it cites.
Climate Change 2021: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change , volume In Press
IPCC · 2021
Later among the works it cites.
Transition paths of marine debris and the stability of the garbage patches
P. Miron, F. Beron-Vera, L. Helfmann, and P. Koltai · 2021
Later among the works it cites.
Deep Learning for Detecting Extreme Weather Patterns , chapter 12, pages 161–185
M. Mudigonda, P. Ram, K. Kashinath, E. Racah, A. Mahesh, Y. Liu, C. Beckham, J. Biard, T. Kurth, S. Kim, S. Kahou, T. Maharaj, B. Loring, C. Pal, T. O’Brien, K. E. Kunkel, M. F. Wehner, and W. D. Collins · 2021
Later among the works it cites.
Rapid attribution analysis of the extraordinary heatwave on the pacific coast of the us and canada june 2021
S. Y. Philip, S. F. Kew, G. J. van Oldenborgh, F. S. Anslow, S. I. Seneviratne, R. Vautard, D. Coumou, K. L. Ebi, J. Arrighi, R. Singh, et al · 2021
Later among the works it cites.
Rare event algorithm study of extreme warm summers and heatwaves over europe
F. Ragone and F. Bouchet · 2021
Later among the works it cites.
Weather and Climate Extreme Events in a Changing Climate , page 1513–1766
S. Seneviratne, X. Zhang, M. Adnan, W. Badi, C. Dereczynski, A. Di Luca, S. Ghosh, I. Iskandar, J. Kossin, S. Lewis, F. Otto, I. Pinto, M. Satoh, S. Vicente-Serrano, M. Wehner, and B. Zhou · 2021
Later among the works it cites.
Long-time-scale predictions from short-trajectory data: A benchmark analysis of the trp-cage miniprotein
J. Strahan, A. Antoszewski, C. Lorpaiboon, B. P. Vani, J. Weare, and A. R. Dinner · 2021
Later among the works it cites.
Sub-seasonal forecasting with a large ensemble of deep-learning weather prediction models
J. A. Weyn, D. R. Durran, R. Caruana, and N. Cresswell-Clay · 2021
Later among the works it cites.
Interpretable deep learning for probabilistic mjo prediction
A. Delaunay and H. M. Christensen · 2022
Closest in time.
Deep learning-based extreme heatwave forecast
V. Jacques-Dumas, F. Ragone, P. Borgnat, P. Abry, and F. Bouchet · 2022
Closest in time.
Global extreme heat forecasting using neural weather models
I. Lopez-Gomez, A. McGovern, S. Agrawal, and J. Hickey · 2022
Closest in time.
Using explainable machine learning forecasts to discover subseasonal drivers of high summer temperatures in western and central europe
C. van Straaten, K. Whan, D. Coumou, B. van den Hurk, and M. Schmeits · 2022
Closest in time.
The physics of heat waves: What causes extremely high summertime temperatures?
L. R. V. Zeppetello, D. S. Battisti, and M. B. Baker · 2022
Closest in time.
Storm surge prediction based on long short-term memory neural network in the east china sea
K. Chen, C. Kuang, L. Wang, K. Chen, X. Han, and J. Fan · 2076
Closest in time.