2019

Calibration of Encoder Decoder Models for Neural Machine Translation

Kumar, Aviral, Sarawagi, Sunita

Understand

We study the calibration of several state of the art neural machine translation(NMT) systems built on attention-based encoder-decoder models.

  • For structured outputs like in NMT, calibration is important not just for reliable confidence with predictions, but also for proper functioning of beam-search inference.
  • We show that most modern NMT models are surprisingly miscalibrated even when conditioned on the true previous tokens.
  • Our investigation leads to two main reasons -- severe miscalibration of EOS (end of sequence marker) and suppression of attention uncertainty.

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