Modeling outcomes of soccer matches

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Bradley, R. A. and Terry, M. E. (1952) · 1952

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A scoring system for probability forecasts of ranked categories

Epstein, E. S. (1969) · 1969

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On the “ranked probability score”

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On Extending the Bradley-Terry Model to Accommodate Ties in Paired Comparison Experiments

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Generalized Cross-Validation as a Method for Choosing Good Ridge Parameter

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The jackknife, the bootstrap and other resampling plans

Efron, B. (1982) · 1982

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Modelling association football scores

Maher, M. J. (1982) · 1982

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Meta-analysis in clinical trials

DerSimonian, R. and Laird, N. (1986) · 1986

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Spline Models for Observational Data

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A limited memory algorithm for bound constrained optimization

Byrd, R. H., Lu, P., Nocedal, J., and Zhu, C. (1995) · 1995

Cited alongside, same era.

Modelling Association Football Scores and Inefficiencies in the Football Betting Market

Dixon, M. J. and Coles, S. G. (1997) · 1997

Cited alongside, same era.

Ensemble Methods in Machine Learning

Dietterich, T. G. (2000) · 2000

Cited alongside, same era.

Analysis of sports data by using bivariate Poisson models

Karlis, D. and Ntzoufras, I. (2003) · 2003

Cited alongside, same era.

Thin plate regression splines

Wood, S. N. (2003) · 2003

Cited alongside, same era.

Bradley-Terry Models in R

Firth, D. (2005) · 2005

Cited alongside, same era.

Approximate Bayesian inference for latent Gaussian models by using integrated nested Laplace approximations

Rue, H., Martino, S., and Chopin, N. (2009) · 2009

Later among the works it cites.

Bayesian hierarchical model for the prediction of football results

Baio, G. and Blangiardo, M. (2010) · 2010

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Dynamic Bradley–Terry modelling of sports tournaments

Cattelan, M., Varin, C., and Firth, D. (2013) · 2013

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Foundations of Linear and Generalized Linear Models

Agresti, A. (2015) · 2015

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Bayesian spatial modelling with r-inla

Lindgren, F. and Rue, H. (2015) · 2015

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Machine Learning for Soccer

Berrar, D., Dubitzky, W., Davis, J., and Lopes, P. (2017) · 2017

Later among the works it cites.