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We propose a generic spatiotemporal event forecasting method, which we developed for the National Institute of Justice's (NIJ) Real-Time Crime Forecasting Challenge.
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[author] Adepeju, MonsuruM., Rosser, GabrielG. and Cheng, TaoT. (2016). Novel evaluation metrics for sparse spatio-temporal point process hotspot predictions - a crime case study. International Journal of Geographical Information Science 30 2133–2154. 10.1080/13658816.2016.1159684
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[author] Wang, XiaofengX., Gerber, Matthew S.M. S. and Brown, Donald E.D. E. (2012). Automatic Crime Prediction Using Events Extracted from Twitter Posts. In Social Computing Behavioral - Cultural Modeling and Prediction 231–238. Springer Berlin Heidelberg
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[author] Rosser, GabrielG., Davies, TobyT., Bowers, Kate J.K. J., Johnson, Shane D.S. D. and Cheng, TaoT. (2016). Predictive Crime Mapping: Arbitrary Grids or Street Networks? Journal of Quantitative Criminology 1–26. 10.1007/s10940-016-9321-x
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[author] Bhatt, SamirS., Cameron, EwanE., Flaxman, Seth RS. R., Weiss, Daniel JD. J., Smith, David LD. L. and Gething, Peter WP. W. (2017). Improved prediction accuracy for disease risk mapping using Gaussian process stacked generalization. Journal of The Royal Society Interface 14 20170520
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[author] Kang, Hyeon-WooH.-W. and Kang, Hang-BongH.-B. (2017). Prediction of crime occurrence from multi-modal data using deep learning. PLOS ONE 12 e0176244. 10.1371/journal.pone.0176244
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[author] National Institute of Justice (2017). Real-Time Crime Forecasting Challenge. http://www.nij.gov/funding/Pages/fy16-crime-forecasting-challenge.aspx
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[author] Shirota, ShinichiroS., Gelfand, Alan EA. E. et al. (2017). Space and circular time log Gaussian Cox processes with application to crime event data. The Annals of Applied Statistics 11 481–503
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[author] Berk, RichardR., Heidari, HodaH., Jabbari, ShahinS., Kearns, MichaelM. and Roth, AaronA. (2018). Fairness in criminal justice risk assessments: The state of the art. Sociological Methods & Research 0049124118782533
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[author] Loeffler, CharlesC. and Flaxman, SethS. (2018). Is gun violence contagious? A spatiotemporal test. Journal of Quantitative Criminology 34 999–1017
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