Fetching the paper…
Reading the bibliography…
Advances in artificial intelligence (AI) will transform modern life by reshaping transportation, health, science, finance, and the military.
Speculations concerning the first ultraintelligent machine
Irving John Good · 1966
Earlier work this paper cites.
Expert political judgment: How good is it? How can we know?
Philip Tetlock · 2005
Earlier work this paper cites.
Two centuries of productivity growth in computing
William D. Nordhaus · 2007
Earlier work this paper cites.
How long until human-level ai? results from an expert assessment
Seth D. Baum, Ben Goertzel, and Ted G. Goertzel · 2011
Earlier work this paper cites.
Race Against the Machine: How the Digital Revolution Is Accelerating Innovation, Driving Productivity, and Irreversibly Transforming Employment and the Economy
Erik Brynjolfsson and Andrew McAfee · 2012
Earlier work this paper cites.
The good judgment project: A large scale test
Lyle Ungar, Barb Mellors, Ville Satopää, Jon Baron, Phil Tetlock, Jaime Ramos, and Sam Swift · 2012
Earlier work this paper cites.
Algorithmic progress in six domains
Katja Grace · 2013
Cited alongside, same era.
Eliciting and modeling probability forecasts of continuous quantities
Joe W. Tidwell, Thomas S. Wallsten, and Don A. Moore · 2013
Cited alongside, same era.
Superintelligence: Paths, Dangers, Strategies
Nick Bostrom · 2014
Cited alongside, same era.
The Second Machine Age: Work, Progress, and Prosperity in a Time of Brilliant Technologies
Erik Brynjolfsson and Andrew McAfee · 2014
Cited alongside, same era.
The Master Algorithm : How the Quest for the Ultimate Learning Machine Will Remake Our World
Pedro Domingos · 2015
Cited alongside, same era.
Robotics and the lessons of cyberlaw
Ryan Calo · 2015
Cited alongside, same era.
Self-driving cars: Disruptive or incremental
Tao Jiang, Srdjan Petrovic, Uma Ayyer, Anand Tolani, and Sajid Husain · 2015
Later among the works it cites.
One hundred year study on artificial intelligence: Report of the 2015-2016 study panel
Peter Stone, Rodney Brooks, Erik Brynjolfsson, Ryan Calo, Oren Etzioni, Greg Hager, Julia Hirschberg, Shivaram Kalyanakrishnan, Ece Kamar, Sarit Kraus, et al · 2016
Later among the works it cites.
Future progress in artificial intelligence: A survey of expert opinion
Vincent C. Müller and Nick Bostrom · 2016
Later among the works it cites.
How predictable is technological progress?
J Doyne Farmer and François Lafond · 2016
Later among the works it cites.
Efficiently encoding and modeling subjective probability distributions for quantitative variables
Thomas S. Wallsten, Yaron Shlomi, Colette Nataf, and Tracy Tomlinson · 2016
Later among the works it cites.
Expert and non-expert opinion about technological unemployment
alphaXiv searches the wider corpus for related work and actual follow-ups.
alphaXiv is searching for related work…
Toby Walsh · 2017
Closest in time.