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In this paper we discuss recent developments in econometrics that we view as important for empirical researchers working on policy evaluation questions.
Statistical Methods for Research Workers
Ronald Fisher · 1925
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Design of Experiments
Ronald Fisher · 1935
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Statistical problems in agricultural experimentation ”(with discussion)
Jerzey Neyman · 1935
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Regression-discontinuity analysis: An alternative to the ex-post facto experiment
D Thistlewaite and Donald Campbell · 1960
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Limit theorems for regressions with unequal and dependent errors
Friedhelm Eicker · 1967
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The behavior of maximum likelihood estimates under nonstandard conditions
Peter J Huber · 1967
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Selection bias in evaluating treatment effects: Some formal illustrations
Arthur Goldberger · 1972
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Specification tests in econometrics
Jerry A Hausman · 1978
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Specification Searches
Edward Leamer · 1978
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A heteroskedasticity-consistent covariance matrix estimator and a direct test for heteroskedasticity
Halbert White · 1980
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An exponential family of probability distributions for directed graphs
P. Holland and S. Leinhardt · 1981
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Let’s take the con out of econometrics
Edward E Leamer · 1983
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Classification and Regression Trees
Leo Breiman, Jerome Friedman, Charles J Stone, and Richard A Olshen · 1984
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Statistics and causal inference
Paul Holland · 1986
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Evaluating the econometric evaluations of training programs with experimental data
Robert J LaLonde · 1986
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The role of a second control group in an observational study
Paul R Rosenbaum et al · 1987
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Choosing among alternative nonexperimental methods for estimating the impact of social programs: The case of manpower training
James J Heckman and V Joseph Hotz · 1989
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Surrogate endpoints in clinical trials: definition and operational criteria
Ross L Prentice · 1989
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The impact of the mariel boatlift on the miami labor market
David Card · 1990
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Applied nonparametric regression
Wolfgang Härdle · 1990
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Nonparametric bounds on treatment effects
Charles F Manski · 1990
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On the application of probability theory to agricultural experiments. essay on principles. section 9
Jerzey Neyman · 1990
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Identification of endogenous social effects: The reflection problem
Charles Manski · 1993
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Alternative approximations to the distribution of instrumental variable estimators
Paul A. Bekker · 1994
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Identification and estimation of local average treatment effects
Guido W Imbens and Joshua D Angrist · 1994
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Large sample estimation and hypothesis testing
Whitney K Newey and Daniel McFadden · 1994
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Semiparametric efficiency in multivariate regression models with missing data
James Robins and Andrea Rotnitzky · 1995
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Analysis of semiparametric regression models for repeated outcomes in the presence of missing data
James Robins, Andrea Rotnitzky, and L.P. Zhao · 1995
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Identification of causal effects using instrumental variables
Joshua D Angrist, Guido W Imbens, and Donald B. Rubin · 1996
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A strategic model of social and economic networks
Matthew Jackson and Asher Wolinsky · 1996
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Regression shrinkage and selection via the lasso
Robert Tibshirani · 1996
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Instrumental variables regression with weak instruments
Douglas Staiger and James H Stock · 1997
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On the role of the propensity score in efficient semiparametric estimation of average treatment effects
Jinyong Hahn · 1998
Earlier work this paper cites.
Using maimonides’ rule to estimate the effect of class size on scholastic achievement
Joshua D Angrist and Victor Lavy · 1999
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Do better schools matter? parental valuation of elementary education
Sandra Black · 1999
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Causal effects in nonexperimental studies: Reevaluating the evaluation of training programs
Rajeev H Dehejia and Sadek Wahba · 1999
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Empirical strategies in labor economics
Joshua Angrist and Alan Krueger · 2000
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Subgroup analysis and other (mis) uses of baseline data in clinical trials
Susan F Assmann, Stuart J Pocock, Laura E Enos, and Linda E Kasten · 2000
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On the use of surrogate end points in randomized trials
Colin B Begg and Denis HY Leung · 2000
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The role of the propensity score in estimating dose–response functions
Guido Imbens · 2000
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Causality: Models, Reasoning, and Inference
Judea Pearl · 2000
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Identification and estimation of treatment effects with a regression-discontinuity design
Jinyong Hahn, Petra Todd, and Wilbert Van der Klaauw · 2001
Earlier work this paper cites.
Combining panels with attrition and refreshment samples
Keisuke Hirano, Guido Imbens, Geert Ridder, and Donald Rubin · 2001
Earlier work this paper cites.
Estimating the effect of unearned income on labor earnings, savings, and consumption: Evidence from a survey of lottery players
Guido W Imbens, Donald B Rubin, and Bruce I Sacerdote · 2001
Earlier work this paper cites.
Identification and estimation of causal effects of multiple treatments under the conditional independence assumption
Michael Lechner · 2001
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Peer effects with random assignment: results for dartmouth roommates
Bruce Sacerdote · 2001
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Principal stratification in causal inference
Constantine E Frangakis and Donald B Rubin · 2002
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Observational studies
Paul R Rosenbaum · 2002
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Experimental and quasi-experimental designs for generalized causal inference
William R Shadish, Thomas D Cook, and Donald T Campbell · 2002
Earlier work this paper cites.
Estimating the effect of financial aid offers on college enrollment: A regression-discontinuity approach
Wilbert Van Der Klaauw · 2002
Earlier work this paper cites.
The economic costs of conflict: A case study of the basque country
Alberto Abadie and Javier Gardeazabal · 2003
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Sensitivity to exogeneity assumptions in program evaluation
Guido W Imbens · 2003
Earlier work this paper cites.
Estimation in the regression discontinuity model
Jack Porter · 2003
Earlier work this paper cites.
Using a social experiment to validate a dynamic behavioral model of child schooling and fertility: Assessing the impact of a school subsidy program in mexico
Petra Todd and Kenneth I Wolpin · 2003
Cited alongside, same era.
Treatment effect heterogeneity in theory and practice
Joshua D Angrist · 2004
Cited alongside, same era.
Random effects estimators with many instrumental variables
Gary Chamberlain and Guido Imbens · 2004
Cited alongside, same era.
The propensity score with continuous treatments
Keisuke Hirano and Guido Imbens · 2004
Cited alongside, same era.
Causal inference with general treatment regimes: generalizing the propensity score
Kosuke Imai and David Van Dyk · 2004
Cited alongside, same era.
Nonparametric estimation of average treatment effects under exogeneity: A review
Guido Imbens · 2004
A general method for detecting interference between units in randomized experiments
Peter Aronow · 2012
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Plausibly exogenous
Timothy Conley, Christian Hansen, and Peter Rossi · 2012
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Inverse probability tilting for moment condition models with missing data
Bryan Graham, Christine Pinto, and Daniel Egel · 2012
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Modeling heterogeneous treatment effects in survey experiments with bayesian additive regression trees
Donald P Green and Holger L Kern · 2012
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Entropy balancing for causal effects: A multivariate reweighting method to produce balanced samples in observational studies
Jens Hainmueller · 2012
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Optimal bandwidth choice for the regression discontinuity estimator
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Cited alongside, same era.
Remedial education and student achievement: A regression-discontinuity analysis
B Jacob and L Lefgren · 2004
Cited alongside, same era.
Propensity score estimation with boosted regression for evaluating causal effects in observational studies
Daniel F McCaffrey, Greg Ridgeway, and Andrew R Morral · 2004
Cited alongside, same era.
Predicting the efficacy of future training programs using past experiences at other locations
V Joseph Hotz, Guido W Imbens, and Julie H Mortimer · 2005
Cited alongside, same era.
Randomization inference with an instrumental variable
Guido Imbens and Paul Rosenbaum · 2005
Cited alongside, same era.
Large sample properties of matching estimators for average treatment effects
Alberto Abadie and Guido W Imbens · 2006
Cited alongside, same era.
Inference with weak instruments
Donald Andrews and James H. Stock · 2006
Cited alongside, same era.
Guido Imbens and Karthik Kalyanaraman · 2012
Later among the works it cites.
Estimating average causal effects under interference between units, 2013
Peter M. Aronow and Cyrus Samii · 2013
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Program evaluation with high-dimensional data
Alexandre Belloni, Victor Chernozhukov, Ivan Fernández-Val, and Christian Hansen · 2013
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From natural variation to optimal policy? the importance of endogenous peer group formation
Scott Carrell, Bruce Sacerdote, and James West · 2013
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Do labor market policies have displacement effects? evidence from a clustered randomized experiment
Bruno Crépon, Esther Duflo, M. Gurgand, R. Rathelot, and P. Zamora · 2013
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Social networks and the identification of peer effects
Paul Goldsmith-Pinkham and Guido W Imbens · 2013
Later among the works it cites.
Estimating treatment effect heterogeneity in randomized program evaluation
Kosuke Imai and Marc Ratkovic · 2013
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Agnostic notes on regression adjustments for experimental data: Reexamining freedman’s critique
Winston Lin · 2013
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Public policy in an uncertain world: analysis and decisions
Charles F Manski · 2013
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A structural model of segregation in social networks
Angelo Mele · 2013
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Estimation and inference of discontinuity in density
Taisuke Otsu, Xu Ke-Li, and Yukitoshi Matsushita · 2013
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Jump or kink? identification of binary treatment regression discontinuity design without the discontinuity
Yingying Dong · 2014
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Why high-order polynomials should not be used in regression discontinuity designs
Andrew Gelman and Guido Imbens · 2014
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Covariate balancing propensity score
Kosuke Imai and Marc Ratkovic · 2014
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Instrumental variables: An econometrician�s perspective
Guido Imbens · 2014
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The role ofprediction modeling in propensity score estimation: An evaluationof logistic regression, bcart, and the covariate-balancing propensity score
Richard Wyss, Allan Ellis, Alan Brookhart, Cynthia Girman, Michele Jonsson Funk, Robert LoCasale, and Til St urmer · 2014
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Site selection bias in program evaluation
Hunt Allcott · 2015
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Wanna get away? regression discontinuity estimation of exam school effects away from the cutoff
Joshua D Angrist and Miikka Rokkanen · 2015
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A measure of robustness to misspecification
Susan Athey and Guido Imbens · 2015
Later among the works it cites.
Exact p-values for network interference, 2015
Susan Athey, Dean Eckles, and Guido Imbens · 2015
Later among the works it cites.
External validity in fuzzy regression discontinuity designs
Marinho Bertanha and Guido Imbens · 2015
Later among the works it cites.
Beyond late with a discrete instrument: Heterogeneity in the quantity-quality interaction in children
Christian Brinch, Magne Mogstad, and Matthew Wiswall · 2015
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Inference on causal effects in a generalized regression kink design
David Card, David Lee, Z Pei, and Andrea Weber · 2015
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Identifying the effect of changing the policy threshold in regression discontinuity models
Ying Dong and Arthur Lewbel · 2015
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Measuring the sensitivity of parameter estimates to sample statistics
Matthew Gentzkow and Jesse Shapiro · 2015
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Statistical Learning with Sparsity: The Lasso and Generalizations
Trevor Hastie, Robert Tibshirani, and Martin Wainwright · 2015
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Causal Inference in Statistics, Social, and Biomedical Sciences
Guido W Imbens and Donald B Rubin · 2015
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Prediction policy problems
Jon Kleinberg, Jens Ludwig, Sendhil Mullainathan, and Ziad Obermeyer · 2015
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Doing more when you’re running late: Applying marginal treatment effect methods to examine treatment effect heterogeneity in experiments
Amanda Kowalski · 2015
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Diabetes and diet: Behavioral response and the value of health
Emily Oster · 2015
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The labor market effects of a refugee wave: Applying the synthetic control method to the mariel boatlift
Giovanni Peri and Vasil Yasenov · 2015
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A practical guide to regression discontinuity designs in political science
Christopher Skovron and Rocío Titiunik · 2015
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Causal random forests
Stefan Wager and Susan Athey · 2015
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Channelling fisher: Randomization tests and the statistical insignificance of seemingly significant experimental results
Alwyn Young · 2015
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Stable weights that balance covariates for estimation with incomplete outcome data
José R Zubizarreta · 2015
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Clustering as a design problem
Alberto Abadie, Susan Athey, Guido Imbens, and Jeffrey Wooldrige · 2016
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Sensitivity to model specification
Dmitry Arkhangelskiy and Evgeni Drynkin · 2016
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The econometrics of randomized experiments
Susan Athey and Guido Imbens · 2016
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Decision theoretic approaches to experiment design and external validity
Abhijit Banerjee, Sylvain Chassang, and Erik Snowberg · 2016
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Lasso adjustments of treatment effect estimates in randomized experiments
A Bloniarz, H Liu, Zhang C, Sekhon Jasjeet, and Bin Yu · 2016
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Balancing, regression, difference-in-differences and synthetic control methods: A synthesis
Nikolay Doudchenko and Guido Imbens · 2016
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High-dimensional regression adjustments in randomized experiments
Wenfei Du, Jonathan Taylor, Robert Tibshirani, and Wager Stefan · 2016
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The impact of sustained exposure to particulate matter on life expectancy: New evidence from china’s huai river policy
Avraham Edenstein, Maoyong Fan, Michael Greenstone, Guojun He, and Maigeng Zhou · 2016
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Predictive cities crowdsourcing city government: Using tournaments to improve inspection accuracy
Edward L Glaeser, Andrew Hillis, Scott Duke Kominers, and Michael Luca · 2016
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Efficient estimation of data combination models by the method of auxiliary-to-study tilting (ast)
Bryan Graham, Christine Pinto, and Daniel Egel · 2016
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Multiple hypothesis testing in experimental economics
John A List, Azeem M Shaikh, and Yang Xu · 2016
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Propensity score matching and subclassification in observational studies with multi-level treatments
Shu Yang, Guido Imbens, Zhanglin Cui, Douglas E. Faries, and Zbigniew Kadziola · 2016
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