Error Estimates of Theoretical Models: a Guide

Understand

This guide offers suggestions/insights on uncertainty quantification of nuclear structure models.

• We discuss a simple approach to statistical error estimates, strategies to assess systematic errors, and show how to uncover inter-dependencies by correlation analysis.
• The basic concepts are illustrated through simple examples.
• By providing theoretical error bars on predicted quantities and using statistical methods to study correlations between observables, theory can significantly enhance the feedback between experiment and nuclear modeling.