Future sensitivity to new physics in B_d, B_s and K mixings

Understand

We estimate, in a large class of scenarios, the sensitivity to new physics in B_d and B_s mixings achievable with 50 ab-1 of Belle II and 50 fb-1 of LHCb data.

• We find that current limits on new physics contributions in both B_{d,s} systems can be improved by a factor of ~5 for all values of the CP violating phases, corresponding to over a factor of 2 increase in the scale of new physics probed.
• Assuming the same suppressions by CKM matrix elements as those of the standard model box diagrams, the scale probed will be about 20 TeV for tree-level new physics contributions, and about 2 TeV for new physics arising at one-loop.
• We also explore the future sensitivity to new physics in K mixing.